Wednesday, August 10, 2005

Pabrai's 2 year holding rule ... helpful or fatal?

Mohnish Pabrai stated that one of his rules is to never take a loss if the position is held within two years. Most behavioral investing finance books say that never taking a loss is the path to investing destruction. Could this be fatal? Or could this be helpful?

If a person has a longer-term holding period, it makes sense to ignore the stock price movement for the next couple of years because value investing ideas, being contrarian that they are, share near-term outlook that that sucks anyway. In this case, this rule is helpful.

On the other hand, if a person is too stubborn to admit a mistake within a two year period, this could be a fatal flaw.

What do you think?


At 7:57 AM, Blogger Aaron Byrd said...

Hey, Mike
I just found your blog today via Jeff Matthews' site.
Interesting question on Pabrai. I don't know the answer, but it very well could be a flaw....everyone's fallible.

At 8:53 PM, Blogger Philippe Ranger said...

I can't tell you if the rule is appropriate once the investment is made, but I do like the idea as a investment idea filter. If you are not willing to own it for two years, don't invest.


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